The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has intensified in recent days, with military operations and attacks affecting both front-line areas and regions further afield. Below is a summary of the latest developments:
Russian Advances in the Eastern Front
Analyst Emil Kastehelmi reports that over the past three months, Russian forces have captured approximately 617 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, making significant gains in the Donetsk region, including the capture of Vuhledar and advances toward Velkaya Novosilka. Ukrainian attempts to stabilize the front have been unsuccessful, and the pace of the Russian advance has accelerated. Kastehelmi anticipates that, if Russia maintains sufficient personnel and equipment, it will continue to attack aggressively, with a potential battle for Pokrovsk on the horizon.
Massive Attacks and Russian Response
On November 28, 2024, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that massive attacks by Russian forces against Ukraine were in response to the use of long-range missiles supplied by the West against targets in Russia. Putin also threatened to attack “decision-making centers” in Kyiv using new missiles.
Increase in Suspicious Activities Across Europe
This year, up to 100 suspicious incidents potentially linked to Russia have been identified across Europe, including cyberattacks, sabotage, and espionage operations. Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský has urged sending a strong signal to Moscow, making it clear that such actions will not be tolerated.
Innovations in Drone Usage
Since the onset of the Russian invasion in February 2022, Ukraine has turned to the use of cost-effective drones guided by artificial intelligence to achieve lethal results against Russian forces. These FPV (first-person view) drones have rapidly evolved and are now mass-produced, with an expected two million units this year. Equipped with AI, they can operate independently of interference and have demonstrated a hit rate exceeding 80%. Funding remains a challenge, with much of the support coming from volunteer foundations.
Call for Increased Defense Investment
In a recent meeting of NATO foreign ministers, Secretary General Mark Rutte emphasized the need to increase defense investment amid the global conflict, particularly due to the rise of hybrid attacks on NATO territory. Rutte, along with other Alliance voices, has called for increased military spending by allies, considering the current 2% of GDP insufficient. The urgency to boost military aid to Ukraine and strengthen responses to hostile actions by Russia and China were also central topics.
Future Outlook
The situation in Ukraine remains critical, with escalating military operations and international tensions. The international community continues to closely monitor developments while seeking diplomatic solutions to end the conflict.